Without going too much into whether this will happen or not (it might never happen), I seek to have a discourse about what would happen if it did.
In this scenario SA is in a state of anarchy with the black masses in revolt against their own government. The SANDF is fighting running battles against anti government groups all over the country. Marshal Law is declared. The official borders are closed. White land is seized by the ANC in order to maintain support. The black anti government groups are also seizing white land in their respective areas. Many white people have fled abroad already, but a large number remain.
So in this scenario what would white people do?
I believe places which have even the slightest prospect of safety would be swamped by white people fleeing the violence. At first many groups of farmers would establish strong holds all over the country. Eventually they will be forced to leave and join larger groups elsewhere. Ultimately large groups would be occupying only a few areas. Possibly only one area would be left, the Western Cape (Southern Western Cape), the local Coloured community would ally with the whites.
At this point the tribes will already be fracturing. For example a faction within the Zulu tribe would claim autonomy in Natal. The ANC would be trying to keep their tribal alliances intact by painting the white man as the enemy. It would be a very complex mixture of various groups fighting each other – fighting us.
[Just the W Cape is left] With tens of thousands of ex SADF soldiers with competent commanders we should eventually be able to consolidate our position and defend our territory against the enemy. Military training of younger men would begin in earnest.
We will need conventional weapons ASAP to counter the SANDF and other groups. Without this we will be in big trouble. I really don’t know how that will play out. We will have enough money to acquire weapons, but how will the world react? China will probably hedge their bets supporting more than one faction, but not us. They know if we win they will lose South Africa. I don’t know how the West will react, I hope once China gets involved that the West will side with us... hope. I also foresee a few international brigades making their way to SA similar to what happened in Spain.
Some black groups would seek protection from us and become our allies.
Once properly armed we will start acting more and more offensively. Although we would be outnumbered by a factor of at least 40-1 we will be (are) far better soldiers. We would eventually beat the enemy
I simply cannot imagine the white population not grouping together to defend themselves. They will, in such a scenario, unite against the enemy.
In this scenario SA is in a state of anarchy with the black masses in revolt against their own government. The SANDF is fighting running battles against anti government groups all over the country. Marshal Law is declared. The official borders are closed. White land is seized by the ANC in order to maintain support. The black anti government groups are also seizing white land in their respective areas. Many white people have fled abroad already, but a large number remain.
So in this scenario what would white people do?
I believe places which have even the slightest prospect of safety would be swamped by white people fleeing the violence. At first many groups of farmers would establish strong holds all over the country. Eventually they will be forced to leave and join larger groups elsewhere. Ultimately large groups would be occupying only a few areas. Possibly only one area would be left, the Western Cape (Southern Western Cape), the local Coloured community would ally with the whites.
At this point the tribes will already be fracturing. For example a faction within the Zulu tribe would claim autonomy in Natal. The ANC would be trying to keep their tribal alliances intact by painting the white man as the enemy. It would be a very complex mixture of various groups fighting each other – fighting us.
[Just the W Cape is left] With tens of thousands of ex SADF soldiers with competent commanders we should eventually be able to consolidate our position and defend our territory against the enemy. Military training of younger men would begin in earnest.
We will need conventional weapons ASAP to counter the SANDF and other groups. Without this we will be in big trouble. I really don’t know how that will play out. We will have enough money to acquire weapons, but how will the world react? China will probably hedge their bets supporting more than one faction, but not us. They know if we win they will lose South Africa. I don’t know how the West will react, I hope once China gets involved that the West will side with us... hope. I also foresee a few international brigades making their way to SA similar to what happened in Spain.
Some black groups would seek protection from us and become our allies.
Once properly armed we will start acting more and more offensively. Although we would be outnumbered by a factor of at least 40-1 we will be (are) far better soldiers. We would eventually beat the enemy
I simply cannot imagine the white population not grouping together to defend themselves. They will, in such a scenario, unite against the enemy.
It’s 2019 and the SHTF
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