Slow slide + combo hit.

Post 84\85:
https://www.survivalistboards.com/sh...=901186&page=5

I was reading the thread this morning in my PT waiting room and was going to post this tonight before those 2 posts.
(Please read them as they no doubt will say it better than me.)

I'm not big on "scenario discussion" but I believe this is sufficiently vague as to be a "plug and play" for various types of threats:

Scenario is "something happens" in this case a climate change (be it natural or man made... Doesn't matter for the purposes of this thread)
OR SOMETHING ELSE that impacts harvests and food production.

Then.... Cascade effects as we have seen in Argintina. (Social unrest etc)

But the key I'd like to touch on is as I typically say:
It's the transition that kills you.
(Im not against thread drift, but can we cover this too.)

FERFAL talked about how he had a a years month of food, but due to prices and availability he had to use some of it so that by the time "things really got bad" he was down to 6 months. (IIRC the scenario was for a year his family are half their food from stores.)

SO:
Let's talk about mitigating the impacts while there is rule of law.

There's no MZB'S, you cannot go "clean up the neighborhood" Or loot you local wallmart. ... But choices shrink, just in time deliveries are slow, good and fuel goes up etc.

Perhaps later there are actual shortages here (we aren't special, it CAN happen here) etc.

Basically: how to maintain your prep levels during a long Slow slide so that "if when" your not sitting on "E".

I'll go first.
(Note: can we as much as possible avoid the "just buy more stuff" solution. ... And take that as a given as much as possible.)

Honestly I think I'm sitting pretty well for this scinario.
Like Hick I moved to a rural, low density, good producing area.

During "times of bad harvests" I may get a year like this year.... Few fruit trees prodiced. (Notably the jujubees did well. I'm planting "many")

But I put up enough last year to carry me through this year.
I plan on trying to put up 18 months worth every 12 till I have several years worth of backups.

Otherwise: I see an initial surplus because of how much meat we raise in this country.
Initially the impact will be felt more in what our food eats than in our food.
(Grain failures, bread prices won't go up as much as meat.)

The farmers initial reaction will be to sell off and\or go out of business.
Presenting an opportunity if your in the area. (Less so in the stores)
Right now cows are selling for $0.40- $0.55 \lb on the hoof.

PAY ATTENTION and when there's a surplus.... Fire up the canner, freeze dryer, smoker, freezer etc.

I have 1,500-1,700 mason jars and 3,000 reusable tattled lids.
At this point my "buy price" is $0.05\jar but I won't stop till I have more than 3,000 lids.

From a early 1920's blue book a years food is about 450 quarts. (Sorry I no longer have the link\division)
-this doesn't count fresh, dry goods etc.

Now that I have the wood collective plan on using The oven and later The warmer to dehydrate greens. FRomt.his I can powder them to use as a soup addative which will not impact it much but can viral nutrients and minerals in the (garden) off season or scarcity.)

The BIG thing IMHO is money.
If food prices doubled tomorrow the only impact it would have on me (other than mental) is that I would save less money. I live on a fraction of my income, and my only debt is my $301\month mortgage. (Which I have saved the cash to pay off and by Jan 2020 I will **** and buy investment land, or pay off mine with.) ...different topic.
But low overhead, savings buffer and low to no debt will go further for most "emergencies" than most other things.

Self sufficiency plays a big part. My house is currently being heated by my wood cookstove, and using my older, less efficient stove burned LESS than 2 gal of chainsaw gas a year.
With 80 acres of trees I am unlikely to run out.
I do coppice however, the saplings will be useful, and can more easily be harvested by hand should it price necessary.

...please contribute and expound:collide

Eta:
Something else I work on is seed:
Most people but their seeds yearly, and even if you have some of those silly little seed banks... It's not enough to give your neighbors for everyone to have a shot.

People NEED seed

That is why I've started putting in things like Jerusalem Artichokes.
I H have a segregated bed, and if it does well I can get enough "starts" to give to many people do that if they can get through to harvest they can get through the winter.

That's a reason I've procured and will start growing grain sorgum and amaranth
Sorghum not needing threshing, and producing many seeds it's something I can "eat behind" schedule. Never eating last year's grain till the next is in the ground, producing etc. That way I always have seed.
(Amaranth I'm thinking more for chicken feed.)

If you manage to help people through to harvest.... But there's nothing to plant....

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Slow slide + combo hit.