Home Invasion, likely how it might go down

Home Invasions are rare. Most criminals want to break in when you are not home, to take your TV, guns or whatever. So what would motivate someone to conduct a home invasion, why do they happen and when are they most likely to happen?

From my experience there is a scenario I have seen happen over and over again and it is scary. It starts with a person running from the cops, usually in a vehicle. The chase might have started with the driver having committed a serious felony like armed robbery, felony assault, or even a felony assault on a law enforcement officer. They are probably a two time felon with nothing to lose, potentially armed. They do not want to be taken into custody, are already facing serious prison time and have nothing to lose.

They end up wrecking the vehicle and law enforcement sets up a perimeter. The suspect is hiding in the woods, and tries to make it out but keeps seeing red and blue lights/spot lights form patrol vehicles. Dogs are deployed, helicopter over head. He's already cold, wet and tired from running, he's looking for an easy way out.

He desperately looks into a couple vehicles but quickly comes to the conclusion that nobody leaves their keys in their car anymore. The solution is to break into someones house, and use his gun, knife, or screw driver to take someone's car keys by force. Then drive out, because cops can't do road blocks like the use to.

This is likely to take place at night, but from what I have seen it always happens in the early morning hours. Think about this, you wake up and because of the size of the perimeter, you have no idea the cops are in the area looking for someone. It seems like a normal peaceful day. Then just like that someone enters your house, gun drawn, demanding keys.

This isn't a hypothetical, I have seen this several times. In one case the home owner shot the suspect dead with a .12 gauge shotgun. One of the rare solid home defense cases I have worked. It happens just like I'm saying more often than you would imagine. He's not interested in the stuff in your house, just your car.

But here is the thing you have to understand. This person is likely more worried about what he has already done, possibly having committed a crime up to a murder, prior to breaking into your home. He is likely in a panic, desperate, and willing to do anything at that moment. He might have already killed someone and killing you wouldn't put him in any more trouble.

I think we imagine most criminals that would enter your house people who do not want a confrontation. But that isn't always the case. They might enter intent on making contact with you, knowing you are home, to get your keys. And killing you might be part of the get away plan. Just a threat analysis. A scenario you might not have thought about before.

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Home Invasion, likely how it might go down