dimanche 30 août 2020

Covid and comorbidity

Cannot verify that but...

Most mornings I receive updates from the WSJ regarding the Covid numbers. When I get those number I divide the number of deaths by the number of confirmed cases in the US.

Methodologically speaking that is probably not the best way to make the calculation of the fatality rate but it is the trend I am watching.

When I first started doing that the death rate in the US was over 4%. As of Friday that rate was under 3.1%. It has consistently dropped.

WSJ's numbers as of Friday:

US deaths: 180,844
US Confirmed cases: 5,869,032.
That means (roughly) less than one person out of 1,800 have died. This is certainly a serious situation but it is a far cry from an existential crisis.

From other sources the average age of the deceased is 78. It affects the elderly more than the young.

And it goes without saying that the situation was not helped by Andrew Cuomo when he took recovering Covid patients and put them in nursing homes to recover. People in those home were decimated. Half of the dead in NYC were from the elderly in NYC.

One conclusion I have reached is that the medical community has upped its' game and improved their treatment of Covid patients as time has passed.

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Covid and comorbidity

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