How Likely is an EMP attack?

I read a lot about the danger of an EMP attack from North Korea. Some guy in the Pentagon even wrote a book on it. I'm going to take the contrarian position and say it's currently unlikely for the following reasons:

1) According to the rocket scientists, Dictator Good Hair doesn't currently have the technical expertise to launch a nuclear warhead into the correct position to cause an EMP over North America. Given time the North Koreans could probably develop the technology but that could be a decade from now.

2) An EMP doesn't discriminate based on nationality and any EMP attack on North America would probably take out multiple satellites belonging to the Russians and Chinese. This would essentially be a declaration of war against China and Russia. I have to believe that little Kim understands that NATO, China and Russia combined would reduce his little country to a smoking cinder if he were to try something so stupid.

Massive solar storms, which can cause much of the same damage an EMP would cause to the electrical grid are probably a bigger threat. One hit earth in 1859 and another just missed in 2012.

Just my thoughts.

Let's block ads! (Why?)

How Likely is an EMP attack?